Model line
Marshall −1.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marshall 56%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Marshall home
44%Win probability56%
The model makes Marshall a 1.3-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Toledo offense vs Marshall defense
| Toledo O | Stat | Marshall D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#117 | Tempo | #6570.7 |
| 54.5#53 | eFG% | #11750.3 |
| 14.7#53 | TOV% | #20116.3 |
| 29.5#221 | ORB% | #31533.8 |
| 30.5#298 | FT rate | #31341.1 |
| 8.5#105 | Block% | #2413.1 |
| 53.1#164 | Assist% | #3146.0 |
| 54.0#86 | 2P% | #11150.3 |
| 37.0#29 | 3P% | #16133.6 |
| 75.4#69 | FT% | — |
| 32.5#324 | 3PA rate | #17739.6 |
Marshall offense vs Toledo defense
| Marshall O | Stat | Toledo D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#65 | Tempo | #11769.5 |
| 54.8#48 | eFG% | #30954.3 |
| 16.6#170 | TOV% | #10617.9 |
| 31.9#128 | ORB% | #31433.7 |
| 29.2#329 | FT rate | #1826.6 |
| 8.1#65 | Block% | #2747.8 |
| 56.5#79 | Assist% | #13950.8 |
| 54.6#69 | 2P% | #33156.1 |
| 36.8#33 | 3P% | #21434.4 |
| 73.0#168 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#84 | 3PA rate | #16240.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Toledo
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Akron100 | L 76–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Massachusetts166 | W 77–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Bowling Green192 | W 77–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Buffalo191 | W 99–78 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Miami OH108 | L 72–74 |
Marshall
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 78–82 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Georgia Southern307 | L 82–99 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Old Dominion218 | W 97–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Coastal Carolina240 | L 75–79 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Appalachian St.234 | W 94–93 |
