Model line
Stanford −14.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Stanford 94%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Stanford home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes Stanford a 14.7-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
St. Thomas offense vs Stanford defense
| St. Thomas O | Stat | Stanford D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#107 | Tempo | #20467.9 |
| 58.9#5 | eFG% | #17251.2 |
| 14.3#34 | TOV% | #8618.3 |
| 22.6#353 | ORB% | #16630.1 |
| 33.8#220 | FT rate | #30540.3 |
| 8.3#84 | Block% | #13010.2 |
| 56.7#74 | Assist% | #842.7 |
| 63.0#1 | 2P% | #16851.5 |
| 36.0#60 | 3P% | #16733.7 |
| 68.7#305 | FT% | — |
| 46.3#41 | 3PA rate | #34233.5 |
Stanford offense vs St. Thomas defense
| Stanford O | Stat | St. Thomas D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#204 | Tempo | #10769.7 |
| 51.7#165 | eFG% | #13850.7 |
| 15.5#107 | TOV% | #15717.0 |
| 32.3#114 | ORB% | #2726.6 |
| 35.7#162 | FT rate | #8130.7 |
| 9.4#180 | Block% | #2937.5 |
| 46.3#311 | Assist% | #20052.9 |
| 50.4#246 | 2P% | #23052.8 |
| 35.6#85 | 3P% | #5431.7 |
| 73.1#166 | FT% | — |
| 44.2#86 | 3PA rate | #12441.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
St. Thomas
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Seattle115 | L 52–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | North Dakota328 | L 66–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | South Dakota St.237 | W 80–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 68–53 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | North Dakota St.170 | W 84–62 |
Stanford
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | West Virginia51 | L 77–82 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Pittsburgh79 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | NC State54 | W 85–84 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Notre Dame72 | W 86–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | SMU59 | W 95–75 |
