Model line
St. Thomas −12.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
St. Thomas 90%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
St. Thomas home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes St. Thomas a 12.3-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UNC Asheville offense vs St. Thomas defense
| UNC Asheville O | Stat | St. Thomas D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#242 | Tempo | #10769.7 |
| 51.0#196 | eFG% | #13850.7 |
| 17.4#231 | TOV% | #15717.0 |
| 29.8#213 | ORB% | #2726.6 |
| 40.0#60 | FT rate | #8130.7 |
| 7.7#45 | Block% | #2937.5 |
| 40.4#360 | Assist% | #20052.9 |
| 50.1#250 | 2P% | #23052.8 |
| 35.1#110 | 3P% | #5431.7 |
| 68.4#317 | FT% | — |
| 33.6#308 | 3PA rate | #12441.1 |
St. Thomas offense vs UNC Asheville defense
| St. Thomas O | Stat | UNC Asheville D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#107 | Tempo | #24267.1 |
| 58.9#5 | eFG% | #17651.3 |
| 14.3#34 | TOV% | #25415.5 |
| 22.6#353 | ORB% | #21831.3 |
| 33.8#220 | FT rate | #28038.7 |
| 8.3#84 | Block% | #14210.0 |
| 56.7#74 | Assist% | #8148.7 |
| 63.0#1 | 2P% | #23152.8 |
| 36.0#60 | 3P% | #9532.6 |
| 68.7#305 | FT% | — |
| 46.3#41 | 3PA rate | #22038.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UNC Asheville
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | High Point61 | L 71–75 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Longwood214 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Charleston Southern316 | L 75–92 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Gardner Webb352 | W 77–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Radford255 | W 74–73 |
St. Thomas
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Seattle115 | L 52–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | North Dakota328 | L 66–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | South Dakota St.237 | W 80–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 68–53 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | North Dakota St.170 | W 84–62 |
