Model line
St. Thomas −3.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
St. Thomas 64%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Bucknell home
64%Win probability36%
The model makes St. Thomas a 3.3-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
St. Thomas offense vs Bucknell defense
| St. Thomas O | Stat | Bucknell D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#107 | Tempo | #24866.9 |
| 58.9#5 | eFG% | #32054.7 |
| 14.3#34 | TOV% | #10217.9 |
| 22.6#353 | ORB% | #21431.3 |
| 33.8#220 | FT rate | #18635.3 |
| 8.3#84 | Block% | #3455.9 |
| 56.7#74 | Assist% | #35261.8 |
| 63.0#1 | 2P% | #28054.1 |
| 36.0#60 | 3P% | #34437.0 |
| 68.7#305 | FT% | — |
| 46.3#41 | 3PA rate | #2445.7 |
Bucknell offense vs St. Thomas defense
| Bucknell O | Stat | St. Thomas D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#248 | Tempo | #10769.7 |
| 48.5#302 | eFG% | #13850.7 |
| 19.0#320 | TOV% | #15717.0 |
| 27.0#294 | ORB% | #2726.6 |
| 29.8#315 | FT rate | #8130.7 |
| 11.5#326 | Block% | #2937.5 |
| 54.0#138 | Assist% | #20052.9 |
| 50.4#243 | 2P% | #23052.8 |
| 30.6#329 | 3P% | #5431.7 |
| 76.8#36 | FT% | — |
| 42.7#122 | 3PA rate | #12441.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
St. Thomas
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Seattle115 | L 52–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | North Dakota328 | L 66–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | South Dakota St.237 | W 80–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 68–53 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | North Dakota St.170 | W 84–62 |
Bucknell
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Navy290 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Army346 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Lehigh265 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Army346 | W 75–73 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Holy Cross353 | L 63–72 |
