Model line
Princeton −0.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Princeton 51%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Neutral
51%Win probability49%
The model makes Princeton a 0.3-point favorite, winning about 51 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Princeton offense vs St. Thomas defense
| Princeton O | Stat | St. Thomas D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#343 | Tempo | #10769.7 |
| 49.6#261 | eFG% | #13850.7 |
| 17.1#211 | TOV% | #15717.0 |
| 27.2#290 | ORB% | #2726.6 |
| 34.6#195 | FT rate | #8130.7 |
| 10.3#262 | Block% | #2937.5 |
| 55.0#114 | Assist% | #20052.9 |
| 48.6#296 | 2P% | #23052.8 |
| 33.9#180 | 3P% | #5431.7 |
| 74.8#90 | FT% | — |
| 44.5#79 | 3PA rate | #12441.1 |
St. Thomas offense vs Princeton defense
| St. Thomas O | Stat | Princeton D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#107 | Tempo | #34364.5 |
| 58.9#5 | eFG% | #21352.0 |
| 14.3#34 | TOV% | #32614.3 |
| 22.6#353 | ORB% | #8728.5 |
| 33.8#220 | FT rate | #15234.0 |
| 8.3#84 | Block% | #3336.4 |
| 56.7#74 | Assist% | #11750.1 |
| 63.0#1 | 2P% | #32255.7 |
| 36.0#60 | 3P% | #3731.1 |
| 68.7#305 | FT% | — |
| 46.3#41 | 3PA rate | #11441.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Princeton
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Yale145 | L 53–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Dartmouth304 | W 82–61 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Harvard135 | L 56–58 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Brown229 | L 71–80 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Columbia202 | L 65–75 |
St. Thomas
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Seattle115 | L 52–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | North Dakota328 | L 66–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | South Dakota St.237 | W 80–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 68–53 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | North Dakota St.170 | W 84–62 |
