Model line
Liberty −1.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Liberty 54%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Neutral
54%Win probability46%
The model makes Liberty a 1.0-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Liberty offense vs St. Thomas defense
| Liberty O | Stat | St. Thomas D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#340 | Tempo | #10769.7 |
| 59.1#4 | eFG% | #13850.7 |
| 13.4#12 | TOV% | #15717.0 |
| 19.3#365 | ORB% | #2726.6 |
| 31.4#272 | FT rate | #8130.7 |
| 11.0#302 | Block% | #2937.5 |
| 61.4#21 | Assist% | #20052.9 |
| 60.2#8 | 2P% | #23052.8 |
| 38.6#12 | 3P% | #5431.7 |
| 71.4#226 | FT% | — |
| 47.7#28 | 3PA rate | #12441.1 |
St. Thomas offense vs Liberty defense
| St. Thomas O | Stat | Liberty D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#107 | Tempo | #34064.5 |
| 58.9#5 | eFG% | #25352.7 |
| 14.3#34 | TOV% | #14117.1 |
| 22.6#353 | ORB% | #29933.1 |
| 33.8#220 | FT rate | #2227.0 |
| 8.3#84 | Block% | #1989.0 |
| 56.7#74 | Assist% | #4146.5 |
| 63.0#1 | 2P% | #11650.4 |
| 36.0#60 | 3P% | #35337.7 |
| 68.7#305 | FT% | — |
| 46.3#41 | 3PA rate | #27436.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Liberty
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | High Point61 | L 57–72 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | Nevada77 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | George Mason98 | W 77–71 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Missouri St.263 | L 69–77 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 79–72 |
St. Thomas
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Seattle115 | L 52–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | North Dakota328 | L 66–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | South Dakota St.237 | W 80–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 68–53 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | North Dakota St.170 | W 84–62 |
