Model line
UNC Wilmington −11.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Wilmington 89%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
UNC Wilmington home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes UNC Wilmington a 11.8-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
St. Thomas offense vs UNC Wilmington defense
| St. Thomas O | Stat | UNC Wilmington D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#107 | Tempo | #29266.1 |
| 58.9#5 | eFG% | #3547.5 |
| 14.3#34 | TOV% | #29914.9 |
| 22.6#353 | ORB% | #5227.6 |
| 33.8#220 | FT rate | #10031.7 |
| 8.3#84 | Block% | #3037.3 |
| 56.7#74 | Assist% | #6747.9 |
| 63.0#1 | 2P% | #9049.7 |
| 36.0#60 | 3P% | #629.7 |
| 68.7#305 | FT% | — |
| 46.3#41 | 3PA rate | #8242.6 |
UNC Wilmington offense vs St. Thomas defense
| UNC Wilmington O | Stat | St. Thomas D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#292 | Tempo | #10769.7 |
| 50.4#223 | eFG% | #13850.7 |
| 14.8#57 | TOV% | #15717.0 |
| 35.3#44 | ORB% | #2726.6 |
| 40.4#56 | FT rate | #8130.7 |
| 7.9#56 | Block% | #2937.5 |
| 51.7#196 | Assist% | #20052.9 |
| 49.1#282 | 2P% | #23052.8 |
| 35.0#123 | 3P% | #5431.7 |
| 68.7#306 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#195 | 3PA rate | #12441.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
St. Thomas
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Seattle115 | L 52–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | North Dakota328 | L 66–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | South Dakota St.237 | W 80–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 68–53 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | North Dakota St.170 | W 84–62 |
UNC Wilmington
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Dayton67 | L 61–80 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Yale145 | W 68–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Campbell260 | L 70–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Elon233 | W 76–57 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Charleston133 | L 76–79 |
