Model line
St. Thomas −11.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
St. Thomas 89%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
St. Thomas home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes St. Thomas a 11.6-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southeast Missouri offense vs St. Thomas defense
| Southeast Missouri O | Stat | St. Thomas D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.9#98 | Tempo | #10769.7 |
| 49.8#247 | eFG% | #13850.7 |
| 16.9#196 | TOV% | #15717.0 |
| 29.6#219 | ORB% | #2726.6 |
| 38.8#84 | FT rate | #8130.7 |
| 9.5#190 | Block% | #2937.5 |
| 45.7#326 | Assist% | #20052.9 |
| 51.8#176 | 2P% | #23052.8 |
| 30.9#323 | 3P% | #5431.7 |
| 69.5#283 | FT% | — |
| 36.0#250 | 3PA rate | #12441.1 |
St. Thomas offense vs Southeast Missouri defense
| St. Thomas O | Stat | Southeast Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#107 | Tempo | #9869.9 |
| 58.9#5 | eFG% | #6148.8 |
| 14.3#34 | TOV% | #9418.1 |
| 22.6#353 | ORB% | #7628.2 |
| 33.8#220 | FT rate | #36148.0 |
| 8.3#84 | Block% | #1469.9 |
| 56.7#74 | Assist% | #1443.9 |
| 63.0#1 | 2P% | #4848.4 |
| 36.0#60 | 3P% | #13033.1 |
| 68.7#305 | FT% | — |
| 46.3#41 | 3PA rate | #34433.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southeast Missouri
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Morehead St.329 | L 61–66 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Lindenwood303 | W 68–66 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Tennessee Tech226 | W 89–73 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Tennessee St.204 | L 71–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Little Rock219 | W 70–65 |
St. Thomas
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Seattle115 | L 52–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | North Dakota328 | L 66–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | South Dakota St.237 | W 80–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 68–53 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | North Dakota St.170 | W 84–62 |
