Model line
St. Thomas −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
St. Thomas 86%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
St. Thomas home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes St. Thomas a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Green Bay offense vs St. Thomas defense
| Green Bay O | Stat | St. Thomas D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.7#336 | Tempo | #10769.7 |
| 54.9#42 | eFG% | #13850.7 |
| 16.0#138 | TOV% | #15717.0 |
| 25.1#338 | ORB% | #2726.6 |
| 41.6#36 | FT rate | #8130.7 |
| 9.3#162 | Block% | #2937.5 |
| 54.5#126 | Assist% | #20052.9 |
| 55.0#56 | 2P% | #23052.8 |
| 36.4#42 | 3P% | #5431.7 |
| 77.5#24 | FT% | — |
| 37.3#224 | 3PA rate | #12441.1 |
St. Thomas offense vs Green Bay defense
| St. Thomas O | Stat | Green Bay D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#107 | Tempo | #33664.7 |
| 58.9#5 | eFG% | #28753.6 |
| 14.3#34 | TOV% | #35113.2 |
| 22.6#353 | ORB% | #14029.6 |
| 33.8#220 | FT rate | #24837.4 |
| 8.3#84 | Block% | #2378.4 |
| 56.7#74 | Assist% | #31057.8 |
| 63.0#1 | 2P% | #23352.9 |
| 36.0#60 | 3P% | #31636.3 |
| 68.7#305 | FT% | — |
| 46.3#41 | 3PA rate | #5743.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Green Bay
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Northern Kentucky217 | L 76–96 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Purdue Fort Wayne268 | W 64–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Youngstown St.248 | W 85–63 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Detroit Mercy277 | L 70–74 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Oakland208 | W 73–68 |
St. Thomas
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Seattle115 | L 52–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | North Dakota328 | L 66–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | South Dakota St.237 | W 80–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 68–53 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | North Dakota St.170 | W 84–62 |
