Model line
Auburn −38.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Auburn >99%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
Auburn home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Auburn a 38.8-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Morgan St. offense vs Auburn defense
| Morgan St. O | Stat | Auburn D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#66 | Tempo | #13969.1 |
| 45.8#351 | eFG% | #28353.5 |
| 17.8#261 | TOV% | #21616.1 |
| 30.7#173 | ORB% | #23731.7 |
| 42.7#23 | FT rate | #17434.9 |
| 10.4#268 | Block% | #5811.7 |
| 52.2#189 | Assist% | #15451.4 |
| 44.9#355 | 2P% | #22552.7 |
| 31.7#297 | 3P% | #32336.5 |
| 74.3#113 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#272 | 3PA rate | #17539.6 |
Auburn offense vs Morgan St. defense
| Auburn O | Stat | Morgan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#139 | Tempo | #6670.7 |
| 52.3#130 | eFG% | #19651.7 |
| 14.7#48 | TOV% | #18716.5 |
| 37.5#11 | ORB% | #34335.2 |
| 44.2#8 | FT rate | #36350.9 |
| 12.6#351 | Block% | #2298.5 |
| 46.9#304 | Assist% | #29256.4 |
| 53.3#114 | 2P% | #26253.7 |
| 33.9#177 | 3P% | #4831.5 |
| 74.5#102 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#165 | 3PA rate | #35531.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Morgan St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Delaware St.361 | L 70–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Coppin St.362 | W 70–66 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Norfolk St.297 | W 90–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Howard164 | L 59–84 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | South Carolina St.356 | W 90–83 |
Auburn
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Tulsa104 | W 92–86 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 88–66 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Nevada77 | W 75–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Seattle115 | W 91–85 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | South Alabama244 | W 78–67 |
