Model line
Auburn −18.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Auburn 98%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Neutral
2%Win probability98%
The model makes Auburn a 18.8-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Middle Tennessee offense vs Auburn defense
| Middle Tennessee O | Stat | Auburn D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#263 | Tempo | #13969.1 |
| 51.6#169 | eFG% | #28353.5 |
| 17.1#209 | TOV% | #21616.1 |
| 30.7#172 | ORB% | #23731.7 |
| 32.7#246 | FT rate | #17434.9 |
| 8.3#78 | Block% | #5811.7 |
| 53.5#150 | Assist% | #15451.4 |
| 52.3#156 | 2P% | #22552.7 |
| 33.8#184 | 3P% | #32336.5 |
| 70.2#266 | FT% | — |
| 45.3#60 | 3PA rate | #17539.6 |
Auburn offense vs Middle Tennessee defense
| Auburn O | Stat | Middle Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#139 | Tempo | #26366.6 |
| 52.3#130 | eFG% | #15951.0 |
| 14.7#48 | TOV% | #29115.0 |
| 37.5#11 | ORB% | #8628.5 |
| 44.2#8 | FT rate | #20335.7 |
| 12.6#351 | Block% | #10110.7 |
| 46.9#304 | Assist% | #5147.2 |
| 53.3#114 | 2P% | #13951.0 |
| 33.9#177 | 3P% | #17433.9 |
| 74.5#102 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#165 | 3PA rate | #31035.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Middle Tennessee
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Fisk | W 117–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 69–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Missouri St.263 | W 75–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | FIU187 | W 73–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 86–85 |
Auburn
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Tulsa104 | W 92–86 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 88–66 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Nevada77 | W 75–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Seattle115 | W 91–85 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | South Alabama244 | W 78–67 |
