Model line
Auburn −37.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Auburn >99%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Auburn home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Auburn a 37.7-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alabama St. offense vs Auburn defense
| Alabama St. O | Stat | Auburn D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#38 | Tempo | #13969.1 |
| 47.1#333 | eFG% | #28353.5 |
| 18.3#286 | TOV% | #21616.1 |
| 31.9#126 | ORB% | #23731.7 |
| 34.9#183 | FT rate | #17434.9 |
| 11.0#299 | Block% | #5811.7 |
| 47.6#293 | Assist% | #15451.4 |
| 46.8#333 | 2P% | #22552.7 |
| 31.8#285 | 3P% | #32336.5 |
| 70.5#253 | FT% | — |
| 38.5#200 | 3PA rate | #17539.6 |
Auburn offense vs Alabama St. defense
| Auburn O | Stat | Alabama St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#139 | Tempo | #3871.3 |
| 52.3#130 | eFG% | #22252.2 |
| 14.7#48 | TOV% | #6018.7 |
| 37.5#11 | ORB% | #22631.5 |
| 44.2#8 | FT rate | #32742.3 |
| 12.6#351 | Block% | #8811.0 |
| 46.9#304 | Assist% | #25355.0 |
| 53.3#114 | 2P% | #22752.8 |
| 33.9#177 | 3P% | #19334.2 |
| 74.5#102 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#165 | 3PA rate | #14640.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alabama St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Alcorn St.340 | L 65–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Grambling St.326 | L 63–65 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Southern293 | L 64–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 89–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Florida A&M317 | L 63–76 |
Auburn
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Tulsa104 | W 92–86 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 88–66 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Nevada77 | W 75–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Seattle115 | W 91–85 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | South Alabama244 | W 78–67 |
