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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Alabama A&M · #313 · SWAC · 0–0Tennessee St. · #204 · OVC · 0–1Sat, Dec 19 · 4:30 PM ETESPN+Gentry Center · Nashville, TN
Model line
Tennessee St. −11.9
Win probability
Tennessee St. 90%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Tennessee St. home
10%Win probability90%

The model makes Tennessee St. a 11.9-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Alabama A&M offense vs Tennessee St. defense

Alabama A&M OStatTennessee St. D
67.3#229Tempo#6270.8
49.2#281eFG%#19351.6
16.5#160TOV%#2919.8
27.5#280ORB%#18730.6
45.4#3FT rate#31741.4
8.5#98Block%#11710.5
48.0#286Assist%#12150.3
47.5#3212P%#19552.0
35.0#1113P%#18534.0
73.8#139FT%—
34.0#2933PA rate#29135.9

Tennessee St. offense vs Alabama A&M defense

Tennessee St. OStatAlabama A&M D
70.8#62Tempo#22967.3
50.0#236eFG%#21852.1
16.7#180TOV%#17816.6
34.8#53ORB%#13129.5
33.4#227FT rate#27538.6
7.7#43Block%#2767.7
45.5#327Assist%#28256.1
50.0#2552P%#16251.5
33.3#2133P%#26835.4
76.0#52FT%—
30.7#3453PA rate#27636.5

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Alabama A&M

Fri, Mar 13NPrairie View A&M301L 55–74
Thu, Mar 12NTexas Southern333W 85–74
Thu, Mar 5HSouthern293L 85–88
Tue, Mar 3HGrambling St.326W 77–63
Sat, Feb 28HAlabama St.295L 88–89

Tennessee St.

Mon, Nov 2NMurray St.97L 64–94
Fri, Mar 20NIowa St.6L 74–108
Sat, Mar 7NMorehead St.329W 93–67
Fri, Mar 6NTennessee Martin312W 68–55
Sat, Feb 28ATennessee Martin312W 67–42