Model line
Belmont −10.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Belmont 85%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Belmont home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Belmont a 10.0-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Middle Tennessee offense vs Belmont defense
| Middle Tennessee O | Stat | Belmont D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#263 | Tempo | #9270.0 |
| 51.6#169 | eFG% | #9249.9 |
| 17.1#209 | TOV% | #12317.4 |
| 30.7#172 | ORB% | #11929.2 |
| 32.7#246 | FT rate | #7830.7 |
| 8.3#78 | Block% | #7111.3 |
| 53.5#150 | Assist% | #23854.5 |
| 52.3#156 | 2P% | #4948.5 |
| 33.8#184 | 3P% | #19434.2 |
| 70.2#266 | FT% | — |
| 45.3#60 | 3PA rate | #649.1 |
Belmont offense vs Middle Tennessee defense
| Belmont O | Stat | Middle Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#92 | Tempo | #26366.6 |
| 61.0#1 | eFG% | #15951.0 |
| 18.1#273 | TOV% | #29115.0 |
| 28.8#237 | ORB% | #8628.5 |
| 32.5#249 | FT rate | #20335.7 |
| 9.4#172 | Block% | #10110.7 |
| 61.9#18 | Assist% | #5147.2 |
| 60.6#5 | 2P% | #13951.0 |
| 41.0#1 | 3P% | #17433.9 |
| 68.6#307 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#51 | 3PA rate | #31035.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Middle Tennessee
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Fisk | W 117–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 69–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Missouri St.263 | W 75–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | FIU187 | W 73–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 86–85 |
Belmont
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Drake137 | L 79–100 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Illinois St.116 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Evansville273 | W 98–64 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 87–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Murray St.97 | W 87–70 |
