Model line
BYU −7.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
BYU 78%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Neutral
22%Win probability78%
The model makes BYU a 7.3-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northwestern offense vs BYU defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | BYU D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #7970.3 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #16651.2 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #19016.4 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #13729.6 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #4228.9 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #5611.8 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #22354.0 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #10350.1 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #26335.3 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #19539.0 |
BYU offense vs Northwestern defense
| BYU O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#79 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 54.4#55 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 15.2#75 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 34.3#61 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 34.4#198 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 8.1#62 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 45.0#334 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 56.2#41 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 34.5#146 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 74.7#91 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#172 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
BYU
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas10 | L 71–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Houston4 | L 66–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | West Virginia51 | W 68–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Kansas St.96 | W 105–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas Tech12 | W 82–76 |
