Model line
Northwestern −16.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northwestern 96%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Northwestern home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Northwestern a 16.5-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Columbia offense vs Northwestern defense
| Columbia O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#237 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 53.5#85 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 19.3#331 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 36.1#23 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 28.6#336 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 9.9#228 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 54.3#131 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 53.2#119 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 35.9#62 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 70.1#268 | FT% | — |
| 37.5#221 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Northwestern offense vs Columbia defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | Columbia D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #23767.1 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #16751.2 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #28815.0 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #4327.2 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #14033.5 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #2608.0 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #31457.9 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #11050.3 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #25635.2 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #28536.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Columbia
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Harvard135 | L 71–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Yale145 | L 54–60 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Brown229 | W 80–62 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Dartmouth304 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | A | Princeton155 | W 75–65 |
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
