Model line
Northwestern −17.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northwestern 97%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Northwestern home
4%Win probability97%
The model makes Northwestern a 17.2-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Stony Brook offense vs Northwestern defense
| Stony Brook O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#281 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 50.2#228 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 16.8#188 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 28.0#269 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 28.4#338 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 11.7#333 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 52.4#183 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 48.5#299 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 34.8#132 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 72.3#197 | FT% | — |
| 45.8#50 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Northwestern offense vs Stony Brook defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | Stony Brook D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #28166.4 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #13950.7 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #14817.1 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #27932.4 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #19335.4 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #11610.5 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #21153.3 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #6048.8 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #29335.7 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #16639.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Stony Brook
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Campbell260 | L 89–96 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Towson179 | L 57–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Hofstra148 | L 58–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Monmouth193 | L 69–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Hampton221 | W 79–72 |
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
