Model line
Iowa −33.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa >99%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Iowa home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Iowa a 33.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Dakota offense vs Iowa defense
| South Dakota O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#36 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 49.9#241 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 16.6#173 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 28.7#244 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 45.2#4 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 9.4#179 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 46.1#316 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 50.7#227 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 32.3#267 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 74.2#120 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#252 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Iowa offense vs South Dakota defense
| Iowa O | Stat | South Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #3671.4 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #31754.5 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #22715.9 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #17930.3 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #8431.0 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #3426.0 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #942.8 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #32355.7 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #21834.5 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #36130.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Dakota
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 62–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Dakota St.237 | W 75–70 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 89–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 62–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Denver243 | L 70–90 |
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
