Model line
Iowa −37.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa >99%
Projected tempo
68.1
possessions
Site
Iowa home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Iowa a 37.1-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Western Illinois offense vs Iowa defense
| Western Illinois O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#233 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 44.5#361 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 17.5#240 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 27.0#297 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 37.7#111 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 11.1#311 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 37.0#365 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 43.5#361 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 30.9#324 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 66.2#352 | FT% | — |
| 33.3#312 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Iowa offense vs Western Illinois defense
| Iowa O | Stat | Western Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #23367.3 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #30654.2 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #30114.9 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #33534.8 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #17334.8 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #3555.2 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #11249.9 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #30354.6 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #29135.6 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #32534.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Western Illinois
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lindenwood303 | L 69–91 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | SIU Edwardsville281 | L 47–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 59–81 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Southern Indiana324 | L 70–77 |
| Thu, Feb 12 | H | Little Rock219 | L 58–77 |
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
