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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Northeastern · #252 · CAA · 0–0Vermont · #189 · AE · 0–0Sun, Dec 13 · 4:00 PM ETESPN+Patrick Gymnasium · Burlington, VT
Model line
Vermont −10.4
Win probability
Vermont 86%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Vermont home
14%Win probability86%

The model makes Vermont a 10.4-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Northeastern offense vs Vermont defense

Northeastern OStatVermont D
69.7#104Tempo#34864.4
52.4#128eFG%#12350.4
16.4#159TOV%#30514.8
27.3#287ORB%#223.0
29.4#324FT rate#22536.4
9.5#187Block%#2348.5
55.7#96Assist%#7648.3
53.6#1032P%#5448.6
33.7#1883P%#26735.3
69.0#298FT%—
37.8#2173PA rate#12141.2

Vermont offense vs Northeastern defense

Vermont OStatNortheastern D
64.4#348Tempo#10469.7
53.1#103eFG%#35156.4
14.3#36TOV%#16716.8
26.2#319ORB%#17430.2
31.1#280FT rate#32041.9
8.3#86Block%#2558.1
47.9#291Assist%#11950.2
55.7#472P%#35057.8
33.3#2143P%#29635.8
71.9#212FT%—
44.6#773PA rate#31435.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Northeastern

Sat, Mar 7NDrexel256L 77–84
Fri, Mar 6NNorth Carolina A&T300W 88–72
Tue, Mar 3HMonmouth193L 83–89
Sat, Feb 28AHampton221L 65–76
Thu, Feb 26AWilliam & Mary201L 77–84

Vermont

Sat, Mar 14AUMBC285L 59–74
Tue, Mar 10HNJIT336W 63–54
Sat, Mar 7HBryant320W 77–57
Tue, Mar 3HAlbany330W 69–56
Thu, Feb 26HUMass Lowell306W 66–64