Model line
Siena −2.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Siena 61%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Siena home
40%Win probability61%
The model makes Siena a 2.5-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Vermont offense vs Siena defense
| Vermont O | Stat | Siena D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#348 | Tempo | #35164.2 |
| 53.1#103 | eFG% | #4948.5 |
| 14.3#36 | TOV% | #15617.0 |
| 26.2#319 | ORB% | #13329.5 |
| 31.1#280 | FT rate | #2827.5 |
| 8.3#86 | Block% | #1969.1 |
| 47.9#291 | Assist% | #7548.3 |
| 55.7#47 | 2P% | #5148.5 |
| 33.3#214 | 3P% | #8232.3 |
| 71.9#212 | FT% | — |
| 44.6#77 | 3PA rate | #18639.4 |
Siena offense vs Vermont defense
| Siena O | Stat | Vermont D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.2#351 | Tempo | #34864.4 |
| 50.4#221 | eFG% | #12350.4 |
| 15.8#125 | TOV% | #30514.8 |
| 31.8#132 | ORB% | #223.0 |
| 33.4#226 | FT rate | #22536.4 |
| 9.5#189 | Block% | #2348.5 |
| 53.2#160 | Assist% | #7648.3 |
| 52.5#147 | 2P% | #5448.6 |
| 30.6#332 | 3P% | #26735.3 |
| 77.1#32 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#327 | 3PA rate | #12141.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Vermont
| Sat, Mar 14 | A | UMBC285 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | NJIT336 | W 63–54 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Bryant320 | W 77–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Albany330 | W 69–56 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 66–64 |
Siena
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Duke1 | L 65–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Merrimack211 | W 64–54 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Fairfield231 | W 76–61 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Mount St. Mary's299 | W 63–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rider355 | W 76–61 |
