Model line
Yale −9.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Yale 85%
Projected tempo
68.5
possessions
Site
Yale home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Yale a 9.8-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Vermont offense vs Yale defense
| Vermont O | Stat | Yale D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#348 | Tempo | #31565.6 |
| 53.1#103 | eFG% | #19951.7 |
| 14.3#36 | TOV% | #20616.3 |
| 26.2#319 | ORB% | #14629.7 |
| 31.1#280 | FT rate | #2026.8 |
| 8.3#86 | Block% | #1499.9 |
| 47.9#291 | Assist% | #19352.7 |
| 55.7#47 | 2P% | #13550.9 |
| 33.3#214 | 3P% | #24835.0 |
| 71.9#212 | FT% | — |
| 44.6#77 | 3PA rate | #3145.0 |
Yale offense vs Vermont defense
| Yale O | Stat | Vermont D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#315 | Tempo | #34864.4 |
| 55.6#29 | eFG% | #12350.4 |
| 14.0#25 | TOV% | #30514.8 |
| 34.2#62 | ORB% | #223.0 |
| 35.1#177 | FT rate | #22536.4 |
| 9.1#156 | Block% | #2348.5 |
| 56.0#91 | Assist% | #7648.3 |
| 53.6#106 | 2P% | #5448.6 |
| 39.4#4 | 3P% | #26735.3 |
| 74.6#101 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#249 | 3PA rate | #12141.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Vermont
| Sat, Mar 14 | A | UMBC285 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | NJIT336 | W 63–54 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Bryant320 | W 77–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Albany330 | W 69–56 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 66–64 |
Yale
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | UNC Wilmington107 | L 67–68 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Penn123 | L 84–88 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Cornell196 | W 88–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Princeton155 | W 78–53 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Columbia202 | W 60–54 |
