Model line
Fairfield −4.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fairfield 69%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Fairfield home
31%Win probability69%
The model makes Fairfield a 4.6-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Vermont offense vs Fairfield defense
| Vermont O | Stat | Fairfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#348 | Tempo | #23867.1 |
| 53.1#103 | eFG% | #15851.0 |
| 14.3#36 | TOV% | #16416.8 |
| 26.2#319 | ORB% | #11029.1 |
| 31.1#280 | FT rate | #7130.4 |
| 8.3#86 | Block% | #1719.4 |
| 47.9#291 | Assist% | #18552.6 |
| 55.7#47 | 2P% | #12950.8 |
| 33.3#214 | 3P% | #19834.3 |
| 71.9#212 | FT% | — |
| 44.6#77 | 3PA rate | #28735.9 |
Fairfield offense vs Vermont defense
| Fairfield O | Stat | Vermont D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#238 | Tempo | #34864.4 |
| 48.8#294 | eFG% | #12350.4 |
| 15.3#85 | TOV% | #30514.8 |
| 35.8#30 | ORB% | #223.0 |
| 27.7#344 | FT rate | #22536.4 |
| 10.5#272 | Block% | #2348.5 |
| 45.2#331 | Assist% | #7648.3 |
| 48.2#302 | 2P% | #5448.6 |
| 33.2#215 | 3P% | #26735.3 |
| 70.5#254 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#263 | 3PA rate | #12141.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Vermont
| Sat, Mar 14 | A | UMBC285 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | NJIT336 | W 63–54 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Bryant320 | W 77–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Albany330 | W 69–56 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 66–64 |
Fairfield
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Saint Peter's298 | W 74–55 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Manhattan331 | W 71–60 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Siena271 | W 72–58 |
