Model line
Connecticut −40.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Connecticut >99%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Connecticut home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Connecticut a 40.4-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi Valley St. offense vs Connecticut defense
| Mississippi Valley St. O | Stat | Connecticut D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#103 | Tempo | #29466.0 |
| 45.2#359 | eFG% | #845.9 |
| 21.9#362 | TOV% | #9618.0 |
| 26.4#313 | ORB% | #8028.3 |
| 33.9#212 | FT rate | #30840.6 |
| 9.0#146 | Block% | #915.0 |
| 52.9#167 | Assist% | #8549.0 |
| 45.6#352 | 2P% | #1345.9 |
| 29.5#346 | 3P% | #2030.5 |
| 71.6#218 | FT% | — |
| 30.2#351 | 3PA rate | #27336.6 |
Connecticut offense vs Mississippi Valley St. defense
| Connecticut O | Stat | Mississippi Valley St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#294 | Tempo | #10369.7 |
| 55.3#33 | eFG% | #34155.5 |
| 16.7#174 | TOV% | #14317.1 |
| 36.1#24 | ORB% | #34735.5 |
| 29.9#313 | FT rate | #36250.8 |
| 9.6#196 | Block% | #2637.9 |
| 65.1#7 | Assist% | #33359.5 |
| 57.4#26 | 2P% | #31455.3 |
| 34.7#134 | 3P% | #34637.2 |
| 71.6#217 | FT% | — |
| 40.3#163 | 3PA rate | #8442.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi Valley St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 52–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Jackson St.314 | L 77–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alcorn St.340 | L 64–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 70–69 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Grambling St.326 | L 62–83 |
Connecticut
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Michigan24 | L 63–69 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Illinois7 | W 71–62 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Duke1 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | UCLA18 | W 73–57 |
