Model line
Connecticut −40.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Connecticut >99%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Connecticut home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Connecticut a 40.1-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Rider offense vs Connecticut defense
| Rider O | Stat | Connecticut D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#309 | Tempo | #29466.0 |
| 42.8#365 | eFG% | #845.9 |
| 16.9#195 | TOV% | #9618.0 |
| 32.6#102 | ORB% | #8028.3 |
| 30.1#307 | FT rate | #30840.6 |
| 8.3#82 | Block% | #915.0 |
| 44.3#342 | Assist% | #8549.0 |
| 43.3#362 | 2P% | #1345.9 |
| 27.7#365 | 3P% | #2030.5 |
| 70.1#272 | FT% | — |
| 27.5#361 | 3PA rate | #27336.6 |
Connecticut offense vs Rider defense
| Connecticut O | Stat | Rider D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#294 | Tempo | #30965.7 |
| 55.3#33 | eFG% | #33755.2 |
| 16.7#174 | TOV% | #26915.3 |
| 36.1#24 | ORB% | #29232.8 |
| 29.9#313 | FT rate | #11632.5 |
| 9.6#196 | Block% | #1769.3 |
| 65.1#7 | Assist% | #23754.4 |
| 57.4#26 | 2P% | #27954.0 |
| 34.7#134 | 3P% | #35637.9 |
| 71.6#217 | FT% | — |
| 40.3#163 | 3PA rate | #16539.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Rider
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Iona222 | L 58–80 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Niagara318 | W 67–62 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Canisius339 | L 66–72 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 75–86 |
Connecticut
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Michigan24 | L 63–69 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Illinois7 | W 71–62 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Duke1 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | UCLA18 | W 73–57 |
