Model line
Connecticut −40.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Connecticut >99%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Connecticut home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Connecticut a 40.9-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wagner offense vs Connecticut defense
| Wagner O | Stat | Connecticut D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#324 | Tempo | #29466.0 |
| 49.6#262 | eFG% | #845.9 |
| 18.5#301 | TOV% | #9618.0 |
| 32.8#95 | ORB% | #8028.3 |
| 32.3#254 | FT rate | #30840.6 |
| 10.4#270 | Block% | #915.0 |
| 48.9#269 | Assist% | #8549.0 |
| 46.6#339 | 2P% | #1345.9 |
| 36.6#38 | 3P% | #2030.5 |
| 72.6#185 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#247 | 3PA rate | #27336.6 |
Connecticut offense vs Wagner defense
| Connecticut O | Stat | Wagner D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#294 | Tempo | #32465.3 |
| 55.3#33 | eFG% | #12450.4 |
| 16.7#174 | TOV% | #30014.9 |
| 36.1#24 | ORB% | #14229.6 |
| 29.9#313 | FT rate | #31040.8 |
| 9.6#196 | Block% | #3296.5 |
| 65.1#7 | Assist% | #22954.1 |
| 57.4#26 | 2P% | #9749.9 |
| 34.7#134 | 3P% | #20534.3 |
| 71.6#217 | FT% | — |
| 40.3#163 | 3PA rate | #29835.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wagner
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | LIU262 | L 56–64 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Chicago St.347 | W 80–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | New Haven351 | W 65–62 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | St. Francis PA | W 65–56 |
Connecticut
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Michigan24 | L 63–69 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Illinois7 | W 71–62 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Duke1 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | UCLA18 | W 73–57 |
