Model line
St. John's −37.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
St. John's >99%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
St. John's home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes St. John's a 37.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wagner offense vs St. John's defense
| Wagner O | Stat | St. John's D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#324 | Tempo | #6770.7 |
| 49.6#262 | eFG% | #2447.2 |
| 18.5#301 | TOV% | #4819.1 |
| 32.8#95 | ORB% | #15129.8 |
| 32.3#254 | FT rate | #9731.5 |
| 10.4#270 | Block% | #4212.4 |
| 48.9#269 | Assist% | #4746.9 |
| 46.6#339 | 2P% | #3647.4 |
| 36.6#38 | 3P% | #3831.1 |
| 72.6#185 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#247 | 3PA rate | #34133.5 |
St. John's offense vs Wagner defense
| St. John's O | Stat | Wagner D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#67 | Tempo | #32465.3 |
| 51.1#191 | eFG% | #12450.4 |
| 14.6#47 | TOV% | #30014.9 |
| 35.9#29 | ORB% | #14229.6 |
| 41.8#34 | FT rate | #31040.8 |
| 9.5#191 | Block% | #3296.5 |
| 57.9#58 | Assist% | #22954.1 |
| 51.8#177 | 2P% | #9749.9 |
| 33.3#212 | 3P% | #20534.3 |
| 72.6#182 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#290 | 3PA rate | #29835.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wagner
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | LIU262 | L 56–64 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Chicago St.347 | W 80–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | New Haven351 | W 65–62 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | St. Francis PA | W 65–56 |
St. John's
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Duke1 | L 75–80 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kansas8 | W 67–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Northern Iowa129 | W 79–53 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Connecticut3 | W 72–52 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | H | Seton Hall69 | W 78–68 |
