Model line
Villanova −9.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Villanova 84%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Villanova home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes Villanova a 9.5-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgetown offense vs Villanova defense
| Georgetown O | Stat | Villanova D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#239 | Tempo | #27666.5 |
| 49.6#257 | eFG% | #18151.4 |
| 15.8#121 | TOV% | #6918.6 |
| 32.5#104 | ORB% | #25031.8 |
| 37.3#122 | FT rate | #5930.0 |
| 9.1#151 | Block% | #3475.9 |
| 57.8#59 | Assist% | #23354.2 |
| 50.7#224 | 2P% | #21152.2 |
| 31.8#286 | 3P% | #14933.4 |
| 74.0#132 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#270 | 3PA rate | #27036.8 |
Villanova offense vs Georgetown defense
| Villanova O | Stat | Georgetown D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#276 | Tempo | #23967.1 |
| 53.8#76 | eFG% | #9449.9 |
| 15.0#67 | TOV% | #21116.2 |
| 32.2#119 | ORB% | #22731.5 |
| 30.9#284 | FT rate | #14733.9 |
| 7.3#23 | Block% | #12210.3 |
| 56.8#73 | Assist% | #25054.9 |
| 54.0#87 | 2P% | #9950.0 |
| 35.7#78 | 3P% | #13933.3 |
| 68.9#303 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#54 | 3PA rate | #12041.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgetown
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Connecticut3 | L 51–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Villanova47 | W 78–64 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | DePaul62 | W 63–56 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Providence43 | W 80–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | St. John's25 | L 69–72 |
Villanova
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Notre Dame72 | L 72–74 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Utah St.56 | L 76–86 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgetown65 | L 64–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Xavier45 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | DePaul62 | W 76–57 |
