Model line
Creighton −7.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Creighton 78%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
Creighton home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Creighton a 7.3-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Xavier offense vs Creighton defense
| Xavier O | Stat | Creighton D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#46 | Tempo | #17068.5 |
| 51.8#160 | eFG% | #16451.1 |
| 13.9#21 | TOV% | #33614.0 |
| 26.5#310 | ORB% | #14329.7 |
| 28.1#341 | FT rate | #424.6 |
| 10.2#259 | Block% | #3366.2 |
| 62.2#16 | Assist% | #14350.9 |
| 49.8#264 | 2P% | #10650.2 |
| 36.5#41 | 3P% | #26935.4 |
| 72.9#176 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#154 | 3PA rate | #35432.0 |
Creighton offense vs Xavier defense
| Creighton O | Stat | Xavier D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#170 | Tempo | #4671.2 |
| 53.1#96 | eFG% | #30254.1 |
| 16.5#163 | TOV% | #25615.5 |
| 27.5#282 | ORB% | #13629.5 |
| 27.5#346 | FT rate | #12232.6 |
| 10.6#277 | Block% | #12610.3 |
| 58.4#51 | Assist% | #35963.3 |
| 54.3#78 | 2P% | #31555.3 |
| 34.5#148 | 3P% | #23834.8 |
| 76.0#51 | FT% | — |
| 48.2#23 | 3PA rate | #26536.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Xavier
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Connecticut3 | L 68–93 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Marquette31 | W 89–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Villanova47 | L 78–91 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Seton Hall69 | L 68–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Georgetown65 | W 91–84 |
Creighton
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | West Virginia51 | L 70–87 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Rutgers75 | W 82–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Seton Hall69 | L 61–72 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Butler95 | W 76–59 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Providence43 | L 76–79 |
