Model line
Providence −10.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Providence 86%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Providence home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Providence a 10.2-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgetown offense vs Providence defense
| Georgetown O | Stat | Providence D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#239 | Tempo | #2172.3 |
| 49.6#257 | eFG% | #17851.4 |
| 15.8#121 | TOV% | #35313.1 |
| 32.5#104 | ORB% | #19430.8 |
| 37.3#122 | FT rate | #12732.7 |
| 9.1#151 | Block% | #1629.6 |
| 57.8#59 | Assist% | #24554.7 |
| 50.7#224 | 2P% | #11750.4 |
| 31.8#286 | 3P% | #26635.3 |
| 74.0#132 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#270 | 3PA rate | #21538.5 |
Providence offense vs Georgetown defense
| Providence O | Stat | Georgetown D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#21 | Tempo | #23967.1 |
| 55.0#41 | eFG% | #9449.9 |
| 16.7#178 | TOV% | #21116.2 |
| 31.7#137 | ORB% | #22731.5 |
| 36.7#139 | FT rate | #14733.9 |
| 8.6#115 | Block% | #12210.3 |
| 47.5#294 | Assist% | #25054.9 |
| 55.3#52 | 2P% | #9950.0 |
| 36.4#44 | 3P% | #13933.3 |
| 75.7#61 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#159 | 3PA rate | #12041.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgetown
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Connecticut3 | L 51–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Villanova47 | W 78–64 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | DePaul62 | W 63–56 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Providence43 | W 80–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | St. John's25 | L 69–72 |
Providence
| Thu, Mar 12 | A | St. John's25 | L 72–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Butler95 | W 91–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Georgetown65 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Marquette31 | L 56–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Creighton36 | W 79–76 |
