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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Marquette · #31 · BE · 0–0St. John's · #25 · BE · 0–0Wed, Feb 17 · 7:00 PM ETPeacockMadison Square Garden · New York, NY
Model line
St. John's −9.2
Win probability
St. John's 83%
Projected tempo
72.0
possessions
Site
St. John's home
17%Win probability83%

The model makes St. John's a 9.2-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Marquette offense vs St. John's defense

Marquette OStatSt. John's D
70.1#91Tempo#6770.7
50.5#214eFG%#2447.2
16.0#140TOV%#4819.1
29.7#217ORB%#15129.8
32.8#240FT rate#9731.5
10.0#238Block%#4212.4
58.1#54Assist%#4746.9
52.7#1412P%#3647.4
31.7#2943P%#3831.1
67.5#333FT%—
42.2#1313PA rate#34133.5

St. John's offense vs Marquette defense

St. John's OStatMarquette D
70.7#67Tempo#9170.1
51.1#191eFG%#13650.6
14.6#47TOV%#3919.3
35.9#29ORB%#33034.7
41.8#34FT rate#10432.0
9.5#191Block%#2398.4
57.9#58Assist%#33660.2
51.8#1772P%#16551.5
33.3#2123P%#9932.7
72.6#182FT%—
34.2#2903PA rate#18139.5

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Marquette

Wed, Mar 11NXavier45L 87–89
Sat, Mar 7HConnecticut3W 68–62
Wed, Mar 4AProvidence43W 78–56
Sun, Mar 1HDePaul62L 51–62
Tue, Feb 24AGeorgetown65W 76–60

St. John's

Fri, Mar 27NDuke1L 75–80
Sun, Mar 22NKansas8W 67–65
Fri, Mar 20NNorthern Iowa129W 79–53
Sat, Mar 14HConnecticut3W 72–52
Fri, Mar 13HSeton Hall69W 78–68