Model line
Butler −1.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Butler 57%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Butler home
43%Win probability57%
The model makes Butler a 1.8-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Creighton offense vs Butler defense
| Creighton O | Stat | Butler D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#170 | Tempo | #9370.0 |
| 53.1#96 | eFG% | #20451.9 |
| 16.5#163 | TOV% | #27415.1 |
| 27.5#282 | ORB% | #15630.0 |
| 27.5#346 | FT rate | #624.9 |
| 10.6#277 | Block% | #2598.0 |
| 58.4#51 | Assist% | #21753.7 |
| 54.3#78 | 2P% | #24253.1 |
| 34.5#148 | 3P% | #13733.3 |
| 76.0#51 | FT% | — |
| 48.2#23 | 3PA rate | #24837.5 |
Butler offense vs Creighton defense
| Butler O | Stat | Creighton D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#93 | Tempo | #17068.5 |
| 50.9#197 | eFG% | #16451.1 |
| 15.9#127 | TOV% | #33614.0 |
| 34.6#56 | ORB% | #14329.7 |
| 42.1#28 | FT rate | #424.6 |
| 11.9#337 | Block% | #3366.2 |
| 57.2#68 | Assist% | #14350.9 |
| 51.9#170 | 2P% | #10650.2 |
| 32.7#243 | 3P% | #26935.4 |
| 71.9#209 | FT% | — |
| 34.9#275 | 3PA rate | #35432.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Creighton
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | West Virginia51 | L 70–87 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Rutgers75 | W 82–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Seton Hall69 | L 61–72 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Butler95 | W 76–59 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Providence43 | L 76–79 |
Butler
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Providence43 | L 81–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | DePaul62 | W 81–71 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Creighton36 | L 59–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Villanova47 | L 73–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Xavier45 | W 80–75 |
