Model line
Providence −5.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Providence 72%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
Providence home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes Providence a 5.5-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Marquette offense vs Providence defense
| Marquette O | Stat | Providence D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#91 | Tempo | #2172.3 |
| 50.5#214 | eFG% | #17851.4 |
| 16.0#140 | TOV% | #35313.1 |
| 29.7#217 | ORB% | #19430.8 |
| 32.8#240 | FT rate | #12732.7 |
| 10.0#238 | Block% | #1629.6 |
| 58.1#54 | Assist% | #24554.7 |
| 52.7#141 | 2P% | #11750.4 |
| 31.7#294 | 3P% | #26635.3 |
| 67.5#333 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#131 | 3PA rate | #21538.5 |
Providence offense vs Marquette defense
| Providence O | Stat | Marquette D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#21 | Tempo | #9170.1 |
| 55.0#41 | eFG% | #13650.6 |
| 16.7#178 | TOV% | #3919.3 |
| 31.7#137 | ORB% | #33034.7 |
| 36.7#139 | FT rate | #10432.0 |
| 8.6#115 | Block% | #2398.4 |
| 47.5#294 | Assist% | #33660.2 |
| 55.3#52 | 2P% | #16551.5 |
| 36.4#44 | 3P% | #9932.7 |
| 75.7#61 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#159 | 3PA rate | #18139.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Marquette
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Xavier45 | L 87–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Connecticut3 | W 68–62 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Providence43 | W 78–56 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | DePaul62 | L 51–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Georgetown65 | W 76–60 |
Providence
| Thu, Mar 12 | A | St. John's25 | L 72–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Butler95 | W 91–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Georgetown65 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Marquette31 | L 56–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Creighton36 | W 79–76 |
