Model line
Connecticut −12.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Connecticut 91%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Connecticut home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Connecticut a 12.5-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Creighton offense vs Connecticut defense
| Creighton O | Stat | Connecticut D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#170 | Tempo | #29466.0 |
| 53.1#96 | eFG% | #845.9 |
| 16.5#163 | TOV% | #9618.0 |
| 27.5#282 | ORB% | #8028.3 |
| 27.5#346 | FT rate | #30840.6 |
| 10.6#277 | Block% | #915.0 |
| 58.4#51 | Assist% | #8549.0 |
| 54.3#78 | 2P% | #1345.9 |
| 34.5#148 | 3P% | #2030.5 |
| 76.0#51 | FT% | — |
| 48.2#23 | 3PA rate | #27336.6 |
Connecticut offense vs Creighton defense
| Connecticut O | Stat | Creighton D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#294 | Tempo | #17068.5 |
| 55.3#33 | eFG% | #16451.1 |
| 16.7#174 | TOV% | #33614.0 |
| 36.1#24 | ORB% | #14329.7 |
| 29.9#313 | FT rate | #424.6 |
| 9.6#196 | Block% | #3366.2 |
| 65.1#7 | Assist% | #14350.9 |
| 57.4#26 | 2P% | #10650.2 |
| 34.7#134 | 3P% | #26935.4 |
| 71.6#217 | FT% | — |
| 40.3#163 | 3PA rate | #35432.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Creighton
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | West Virginia51 | L 70–87 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Rutgers75 | W 82–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Seton Hall69 | L 61–72 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Butler95 | W 76–59 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Providence43 | L 76–79 |
Connecticut
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Michigan24 | L 63–69 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Illinois7 | W 71–62 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Duke1 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | UCLA18 | W 73–57 |
