Model line
Butler −2.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Butler 61%
Projected tempo
72.0
possessions
Site
Butler home
40%Win probability61%
The model makes Butler a 2.5-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Xavier offense vs Butler defense
| Xavier O | Stat | Butler D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#46 | Tempo | #9370.0 |
| 51.8#160 | eFG% | #20451.9 |
| 13.9#21 | TOV% | #27415.1 |
| 26.5#310 | ORB% | #15630.0 |
| 28.1#341 | FT rate | #624.9 |
| 10.2#259 | Block% | #2598.0 |
| 62.2#16 | Assist% | #21753.7 |
| 49.8#264 | 2P% | #24253.1 |
| 36.5#41 | 3P% | #13733.3 |
| 72.9#176 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#154 | 3PA rate | #24837.5 |
Butler offense vs Xavier defense
| Butler O | Stat | Xavier D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#93 | Tempo | #4671.2 |
| 50.9#197 | eFG% | #30254.1 |
| 15.9#127 | TOV% | #25615.5 |
| 34.6#56 | ORB% | #13629.5 |
| 42.1#28 | FT rate | #12232.6 |
| 11.9#337 | Block% | #12610.3 |
| 57.2#68 | Assist% | #35963.3 |
| 51.9#170 | 2P% | #31555.3 |
| 32.7#243 | 3P% | #23834.8 |
| 71.9#209 | FT% | — |
| 34.9#275 | 3PA rate | #26536.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Xavier
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Connecticut3 | L 68–93 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Marquette31 | W 89–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Villanova47 | L 78–91 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Seton Hall69 | L 68–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Georgetown65 | W 91–84 |
Butler
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Providence43 | L 81–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | DePaul62 | W 81–71 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Creighton36 | L 59–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Villanova47 | L 73–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Xavier45 | W 80–75 |
