Model line
Villanova −4.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Villanova 67%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Villanova home
33%Win probability67%
The model makes Villanova a 4.1-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
St. John's offense vs Villanova defense
| St. John's O | Stat | Villanova D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#67 | Tempo | #27666.5 |
| 51.1#191 | eFG% | #18151.4 |
| 14.6#47 | TOV% | #6918.6 |
| 35.9#29 | ORB% | #25031.8 |
| 41.8#34 | FT rate | #5930.0 |
| 9.5#191 | Block% | #3475.9 |
| 57.9#58 | Assist% | #23354.2 |
| 51.8#177 | 2P% | #21152.2 |
| 33.3#212 | 3P% | #14933.4 |
| 72.6#182 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#290 | 3PA rate | #27036.8 |
Villanova offense vs St. John's defense
| Villanova O | Stat | St. John's D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#276 | Tempo | #6770.7 |
| 53.8#76 | eFG% | #2447.2 |
| 15.0#67 | TOV% | #4819.1 |
| 32.2#119 | ORB% | #15129.8 |
| 30.9#284 | FT rate | #9731.5 |
| 7.3#23 | Block% | #4212.4 |
| 56.8#73 | Assist% | #4746.9 |
| 54.0#87 | 2P% | #3647.4 |
| 35.7#78 | 3P% | #3831.1 |
| 68.9#303 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#54 | 3PA rate | #34133.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
St. John's
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Duke1 | L 75–80 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kansas8 | W 67–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Northern Iowa129 | W 79–53 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Connecticut3 | W 72–52 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | H | Seton Hall69 | W 78–68 |
Villanova
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Notre Dame72 | L 72–74 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Utah St.56 | L 76–86 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgetown65 | L 64–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Xavier45 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | DePaul62 | W 76–57 |
