Model line
Creighton −7.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Creighton 79%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Creighton home
21%Win probability79%
The model makes Creighton a 7.5-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Providence offense vs Creighton defense
| Providence O | Stat | Creighton D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#21 | Tempo | #17068.5 |
| 55.0#41 | eFG% | #16451.1 |
| 16.7#178 | TOV% | #33614.0 |
| 31.7#137 | ORB% | #14329.7 |
| 36.7#139 | FT rate | #424.6 |
| 8.6#115 | Block% | #3366.2 |
| 47.5#294 | Assist% | #14350.9 |
| 55.3#52 | 2P% | #10650.2 |
| 36.4#44 | 3P% | #26935.4 |
| 75.7#61 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#159 | 3PA rate | #35432.0 |
Creighton offense vs Providence defense
| Creighton O | Stat | Providence D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#170 | Tempo | #2172.3 |
| 53.1#96 | eFG% | #17851.4 |
| 16.5#163 | TOV% | #35313.1 |
| 27.5#282 | ORB% | #19430.8 |
| 27.5#346 | FT rate | #12732.7 |
| 10.6#277 | Block% | #1629.6 |
| 58.4#51 | Assist% | #24554.7 |
| 54.3#78 | 2P% | #11750.4 |
| 34.5#148 | 3P% | #26635.3 |
| 76.0#51 | FT% | — |
| 48.2#23 | 3PA rate | #21538.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Providence
| Thu, Mar 12 | A | St. John's25 | L 72–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Butler95 | W 91–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Georgetown65 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Marquette31 | L 56–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Creighton36 | W 79–76 |
Creighton
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | West Virginia51 | L 70–87 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Rutgers75 | W 82–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Seton Hall69 | L 61–72 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Butler95 | W 76–59 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Providence43 | L 76–79 |
