Model line
Marquette −6.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marquette 74%
Projected tempo
72.0
possessions
Site
Marquette home
26%Win probability74%
The model makes Marquette a 6.0-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
St. John's offense vs Marquette defense
| St. John's O | Stat | Marquette D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#67 | Tempo | #9170.1 |
| 51.1#191 | eFG% | #13650.6 |
| 14.6#47 | TOV% | #3919.3 |
| 35.9#29 | ORB% | #33034.7 |
| 41.8#34 | FT rate | #10432.0 |
| 9.5#191 | Block% | #2398.4 |
| 57.9#58 | Assist% | #33660.2 |
| 51.8#177 | 2P% | #16551.5 |
| 33.3#212 | 3P% | #9932.7 |
| 72.6#182 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#290 | 3PA rate | #18139.5 |
Marquette offense vs St. John's defense
| Marquette O | Stat | St. John's D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#91 | Tempo | #6770.7 |
| 50.5#214 | eFG% | #2447.2 |
| 16.0#140 | TOV% | #4819.1 |
| 29.7#217 | ORB% | #15129.8 |
| 32.8#240 | FT rate | #9731.5 |
| 10.0#238 | Block% | #4212.4 |
| 58.1#54 | Assist% | #4746.9 |
| 52.7#141 | 2P% | #3647.4 |
| 31.7#294 | 3P% | #3831.1 |
| 67.5#333 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#131 | 3PA rate | #34133.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
St. John's
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Duke1 | L 75–80 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kansas8 | W 67–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Northern Iowa129 | W 79–53 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Connecticut3 | W 72–52 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | H | Seton Hall69 | W 78–68 |
Marquette
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Xavier45 | L 87–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Connecticut3 | W 68–62 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Providence43 | W 78–56 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | DePaul62 | L 51–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Georgetown65 | W 76–60 |
