Model line
Villanova −6.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Villanova 74%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Villanova home
26%Win probability74%
The model makes Villanova a 6.0-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Creighton offense vs Villanova defense
| Creighton O | Stat | Villanova D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#170 | Tempo | #27666.5 |
| 53.1#96 | eFG% | #18151.4 |
| 16.5#163 | TOV% | #6918.6 |
| 27.5#282 | ORB% | #25031.8 |
| 27.5#346 | FT rate | #5930.0 |
| 10.6#277 | Block% | #3475.9 |
| 58.4#51 | Assist% | #23354.2 |
| 54.3#78 | 2P% | #21152.2 |
| 34.5#148 | 3P% | #14933.4 |
| 76.0#51 | FT% | — |
| 48.2#23 | 3PA rate | #27036.8 |
Villanova offense vs Creighton defense
| Villanova O | Stat | Creighton D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#276 | Tempo | #17068.5 |
| 53.8#76 | eFG% | #16451.1 |
| 15.0#67 | TOV% | #33614.0 |
| 32.2#119 | ORB% | #14329.7 |
| 30.9#284 | FT rate | #424.6 |
| 7.3#23 | Block% | #3366.2 |
| 56.8#73 | Assist% | #14350.9 |
| 54.0#87 | 2P% | #10650.2 |
| 35.7#78 | 3P% | #26935.4 |
| 68.9#303 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#54 | 3PA rate | #35432.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Creighton
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | West Virginia51 | L 70–87 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Rutgers75 | W 82–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Seton Hall69 | L 61–72 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Butler95 | W 76–59 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Providence43 | L 76–79 |
Villanova
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Notre Dame72 | L 72–74 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Utah St.56 | L 76–86 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgetown65 | L 64–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Xavier45 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | DePaul62 | W 76–57 |
