Model line
Xavier −4.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Xavier 68%
Projected tempo
72.6
possessions
Site
Xavier home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Xavier a 4.3-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
St. John's offense vs Xavier defense
| St. John's O | Stat | Xavier D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#67 | Tempo | #4671.2 |
| 51.1#191 | eFG% | #30254.1 |
| 14.6#47 | TOV% | #25615.5 |
| 35.9#29 | ORB% | #13629.5 |
| 41.8#34 | FT rate | #12232.6 |
| 9.5#191 | Block% | #12610.3 |
| 57.9#58 | Assist% | #35963.3 |
| 51.8#177 | 2P% | #31555.3 |
| 33.3#212 | 3P% | #23834.8 |
| 72.6#182 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#290 | 3PA rate | #26536.9 |
Xavier offense vs St. John's defense
| Xavier O | Stat | St. John's D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#46 | Tempo | #6770.7 |
| 51.8#160 | eFG% | #2447.2 |
| 13.9#21 | TOV% | #4819.1 |
| 26.5#310 | ORB% | #15129.8 |
| 28.1#341 | FT rate | #9731.5 |
| 10.2#259 | Block% | #4212.4 |
| 62.2#16 | Assist% | #4746.9 |
| 49.8#264 | 2P% | #3647.4 |
| 36.5#41 | 3P% | #3831.1 |
| 72.9#176 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#154 | 3PA rate | #34133.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
St. John's
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Duke1 | L 75–80 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kansas8 | W 67–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Northern Iowa129 | W 79–53 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Connecticut3 | W 72–52 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | H | Seton Hall69 | W 78–68 |
Xavier
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Connecticut3 | L 68–93 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Marquette31 | W 89–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Villanova47 | L 78–91 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Seton Hall69 | L 68–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Georgetown65 | W 91–84 |
