Model line
Connecticut −1.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Connecticut 54%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Georgetown home
54%Win probability46%
The model makes Connecticut a 1.0-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Connecticut offense vs Georgetown defense
| Connecticut O | Stat | Georgetown D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#294 | Tempo | #23967.1 |
| 55.3#33 | eFG% | #9449.9 |
| 16.7#174 | TOV% | #21116.2 |
| 36.1#24 | ORB% | #22731.5 |
| 29.9#313 | FT rate | #14733.9 |
| 9.6#196 | Block% | #12210.3 |
| 65.1#7 | Assist% | #25054.9 |
| 57.4#26 | 2P% | #9950.0 |
| 34.7#134 | 3P% | #13933.3 |
| 71.6#217 | FT% | — |
| 40.3#163 | 3PA rate | #12041.2 |
Georgetown offense vs Connecticut defense
| Georgetown O | Stat | Connecticut D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#239 | Tempo | #29466.0 |
| 49.6#257 | eFG% | #845.9 |
| 15.8#121 | TOV% | #9618.0 |
| 32.5#104 | ORB% | #8028.3 |
| 37.3#122 | FT rate | #30840.6 |
| 9.1#151 | Block% | #915.0 |
| 57.8#59 | Assist% | #8549.0 |
| 50.7#224 | 2P% | #1345.9 |
| 31.8#286 | 3P% | #2030.5 |
| 74.0#132 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#270 | 3PA rate | #27336.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Connecticut
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Michigan24 | L 63–69 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Illinois7 | W 71–62 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Duke1 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | UCLA18 | W 73–57 |
Georgetown
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Connecticut3 | L 51–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Villanova47 | W 78–64 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | DePaul62 | W 63–56 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Providence43 | W 80–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | St. John's25 | L 69–72 |
