Model line
Xavier −5.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Xavier 72%
Projected tempo
72.4
possessions
Site
Xavier home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes Xavier a 5.5-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Marquette offense vs Xavier defense
| Marquette O | Stat | Xavier D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#91 | Tempo | #4671.2 |
| 50.5#214 | eFG% | #30254.1 |
| 16.0#140 | TOV% | #25615.5 |
| 29.7#217 | ORB% | #13629.5 |
| 32.8#240 | FT rate | #12232.6 |
| 10.0#238 | Block% | #12610.3 |
| 58.1#54 | Assist% | #35963.3 |
| 52.7#141 | 2P% | #31555.3 |
| 31.7#294 | 3P% | #23834.8 |
| 67.5#333 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#131 | 3PA rate | #26536.9 |
Xavier offense vs Marquette defense
| Xavier O | Stat | Marquette D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#46 | Tempo | #9170.1 |
| 51.8#160 | eFG% | #13650.6 |
| 13.9#21 | TOV% | #3919.3 |
| 26.5#310 | ORB% | #33034.7 |
| 28.1#341 | FT rate | #10432.0 |
| 10.2#259 | Block% | #2398.4 |
| 62.2#16 | Assist% | #33660.2 |
| 49.8#264 | 2P% | #16551.5 |
| 36.5#41 | 3P% | #9932.7 |
| 72.9#176 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#154 | 3PA rate | #18139.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Marquette
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Xavier45 | L 87–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Connecticut3 | W 68–62 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Providence43 | W 78–56 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | DePaul62 | L 51–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Georgetown65 | W 76–60 |
Xavier
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Connecticut3 | L 68–93 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Marquette31 | W 89–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Villanova47 | L 78–91 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Seton Hall69 | L 68–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Georgetown65 | W 91–84 |
