Model line
Villanova −7.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Villanova 78%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Villanova home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Villanova a 7.3-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Xavier offense vs Villanova defense
| Xavier O | Stat | Villanova D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#46 | Tempo | #27666.5 |
| 51.8#160 | eFG% | #18151.4 |
| 13.9#21 | TOV% | #6918.6 |
| 26.5#310 | ORB% | #25031.8 |
| 28.1#341 | FT rate | #5930.0 |
| 10.2#259 | Block% | #3475.9 |
| 62.2#16 | Assist% | #23354.2 |
| 49.8#264 | 2P% | #21152.2 |
| 36.5#41 | 3P% | #14933.4 |
| 72.9#176 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#154 | 3PA rate | #27036.8 |
Villanova offense vs Xavier defense
| Villanova O | Stat | Xavier D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#276 | Tempo | #4671.2 |
| 53.8#76 | eFG% | #30254.1 |
| 15.0#67 | TOV% | #25615.5 |
| 32.2#119 | ORB% | #13629.5 |
| 30.9#284 | FT rate | #12232.6 |
| 7.3#23 | Block% | #12610.3 |
| 56.8#73 | Assist% | #35963.3 |
| 54.0#87 | 2P% | #31555.3 |
| 35.7#78 | 3P% | #23834.8 |
| 68.9#303 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#54 | 3PA rate | #26536.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Xavier
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Connecticut3 | L 68–93 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Marquette31 | W 89–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Villanova47 | L 78–91 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Seton Hall69 | L 68–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Georgetown65 | W 91–84 |
Villanova
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Notre Dame72 | L 72–74 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Utah St.56 | L 76–86 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgetown65 | L 64–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Xavier45 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | DePaul62 | W 76–57 |
