Model line
Creighton −5.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Creighton 71%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Creighton home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Creighton a 5.2-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
St. John's offense vs Creighton defense
| St. John's O | Stat | Creighton D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#67 | Tempo | #17068.5 |
| 51.1#191 | eFG% | #16451.1 |
| 14.6#47 | TOV% | #33614.0 |
| 35.9#29 | ORB% | #14329.7 |
| 41.8#34 | FT rate | #424.6 |
| 9.5#191 | Block% | #3366.2 |
| 57.9#58 | Assist% | #14350.9 |
| 51.8#177 | 2P% | #10650.2 |
| 33.3#212 | 3P% | #26935.4 |
| 72.6#182 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#290 | 3PA rate | #35432.0 |
Creighton offense vs St. John's defense
| Creighton O | Stat | St. John's D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#170 | Tempo | #6770.7 |
| 53.1#96 | eFG% | #2447.2 |
| 16.5#163 | TOV% | #4819.1 |
| 27.5#282 | ORB% | #15129.8 |
| 27.5#346 | FT rate | #9731.5 |
| 10.6#277 | Block% | #4212.4 |
| 58.4#51 | Assist% | #4746.9 |
| 54.3#78 | 2P% | #3647.4 |
| 34.5#148 | 3P% | #3831.1 |
| 76.0#51 | FT% | — |
| 48.2#23 | 3PA rate | #34133.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
St. John's
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Duke1 | L 75–80 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kansas8 | W 67–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Northern Iowa129 | W 79–53 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Connecticut3 | W 72–52 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | H | Seton Hall69 | W 78–68 |
Creighton
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | West Virginia51 | L 70–87 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Rutgers75 | W 82–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Seton Hall69 | L 61–72 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Butler95 | W 76–59 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Providence43 | L 76–79 |
