Model line
Butler −2.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Butler 59%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Butler home
42%Win probability59%
The model makes Butler a 2.0-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Villanova offense vs Butler defense
| Villanova O | Stat | Butler D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#276 | Tempo | #9370.0 |
| 53.8#76 | eFG% | #20451.9 |
| 15.0#67 | TOV% | #27415.1 |
| 32.2#119 | ORB% | #15630.0 |
| 30.9#284 | FT rate | #624.9 |
| 7.3#23 | Block% | #2598.0 |
| 56.8#73 | Assist% | #21753.7 |
| 54.0#87 | 2P% | #24253.1 |
| 35.7#78 | 3P% | #13733.3 |
| 68.9#303 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#54 | 3PA rate | #24837.5 |
Butler offense vs Villanova defense
| Butler O | Stat | Villanova D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#93 | Tempo | #27666.5 |
| 50.9#197 | eFG% | #18151.4 |
| 15.9#127 | TOV% | #6918.6 |
| 34.6#56 | ORB% | #25031.8 |
| 42.1#28 | FT rate | #5930.0 |
| 11.9#337 | Block% | #3475.9 |
| 57.2#68 | Assist% | #23354.2 |
| 51.9#170 | 2P% | #21152.2 |
| 32.7#243 | 3P% | #14933.4 |
| 71.9#209 | FT% | — |
| 34.9#275 | 3PA rate | #27036.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Villanova
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Notre Dame72 | L 72–74 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Utah St.56 | L 76–86 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgetown65 | L 64–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Xavier45 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | DePaul62 | W 76–57 |
Butler
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Providence43 | L 81–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | DePaul62 | W 81–71 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Creighton36 | L 59–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Villanova47 | L 73–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Xavier45 | W 80–75 |
