Model line
Connecticut −11.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Connecticut 88%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Connecticut home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Connecticut a 11.3-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Marquette offense vs Connecticut defense
| Marquette O | Stat | Connecticut D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#91 | Tempo | #29466.0 |
| 50.5#214 | eFG% | #845.9 |
| 16.0#140 | TOV% | #9618.0 |
| 29.7#217 | ORB% | #8028.3 |
| 32.8#240 | FT rate | #30840.6 |
| 10.0#238 | Block% | #915.0 |
| 58.1#54 | Assist% | #8549.0 |
| 52.7#141 | 2P% | #1345.9 |
| 31.7#294 | 3P% | #2030.5 |
| 67.5#333 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#131 | 3PA rate | #27336.6 |
Connecticut offense vs Marquette defense
| Connecticut O | Stat | Marquette D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#294 | Tempo | #9170.1 |
| 55.3#33 | eFG% | #13650.6 |
| 16.7#174 | TOV% | #3919.3 |
| 36.1#24 | ORB% | #33034.7 |
| 29.9#313 | FT rate | #10432.0 |
| 9.6#196 | Block% | #2398.4 |
| 65.1#7 | Assist% | #33660.2 |
| 57.4#26 | 2P% | #16551.5 |
| 34.7#134 | 3P% | #9932.7 |
| 71.6#217 | FT% | — |
| 40.3#163 | 3PA rate | #18139.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Marquette
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Xavier45 | L 87–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Connecticut3 | W 68–62 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Providence43 | W 78–56 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | DePaul62 | L 51–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Georgetown65 | W 76–60 |
Connecticut
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Michigan24 | L 63–69 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Illinois7 | W 71–62 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Duke1 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | UCLA18 | W 73–57 |
