Model line
Villanova −5.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Villanova 72%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Villanova home
29%Win probability72%
The model makes Villanova a 5.4-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Marquette offense vs Villanova defense
| Marquette O | Stat | Villanova D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#91 | Tempo | #27666.5 |
| 50.5#214 | eFG% | #18151.4 |
| 16.0#140 | TOV% | #6918.6 |
| 29.7#217 | ORB% | #25031.8 |
| 32.8#240 | FT rate | #5930.0 |
| 10.0#238 | Block% | #3475.9 |
| 58.1#54 | Assist% | #23354.2 |
| 52.7#141 | 2P% | #21152.2 |
| 31.7#294 | 3P% | #14933.4 |
| 67.5#333 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#131 | 3PA rate | #27036.8 |
Villanova offense vs Marquette defense
| Villanova O | Stat | Marquette D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#276 | Tempo | #9170.1 |
| 53.8#76 | eFG% | #13650.6 |
| 15.0#67 | TOV% | #3919.3 |
| 32.2#119 | ORB% | #33034.7 |
| 30.9#284 | FT rate | #10432.0 |
| 7.3#23 | Block% | #2398.4 |
| 56.8#73 | Assist% | #33660.2 |
| 54.0#87 | 2P% | #16551.5 |
| 35.7#78 | 3P% | #9932.7 |
| 68.9#303 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#54 | 3PA rate | #18139.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Marquette
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Xavier45 | L 87–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Connecticut3 | W 68–62 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Providence43 | W 78–56 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | DePaul62 | L 51–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Georgetown65 | W 76–60 |
Villanova
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Notre Dame72 | L 72–74 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Utah St.56 | L 76–86 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgetown65 | L 64–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Xavier45 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | DePaul62 | W 76–57 |
