Model line
Butler −0.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Butler 51%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Butler home
49%Win probability51%
The model makes Butler a 0.2-point favorite, winning about 51 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
St. John's offense vs Butler defense
| St. John's O | Stat | Butler D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#67 | Tempo | #9370.0 |
| 51.1#191 | eFG% | #20451.9 |
| 14.6#47 | TOV% | #27415.1 |
| 35.9#29 | ORB% | #15630.0 |
| 41.8#34 | FT rate | #624.9 |
| 9.5#191 | Block% | #2598.0 |
| 57.9#58 | Assist% | #21753.7 |
| 51.8#177 | 2P% | #24253.1 |
| 33.3#212 | 3P% | #13733.3 |
| 72.6#182 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#290 | 3PA rate | #24837.5 |
Butler offense vs St. John's defense
| Butler O | Stat | St. John's D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#93 | Tempo | #6770.7 |
| 50.9#197 | eFG% | #2447.2 |
| 15.9#127 | TOV% | #4819.1 |
| 34.6#56 | ORB% | #15129.8 |
| 42.1#28 | FT rate | #9731.5 |
| 11.9#337 | Block% | #4212.4 |
| 57.2#68 | Assist% | #4746.9 |
| 51.9#170 | 2P% | #3647.4 |
| 32.7#243 | 3P% | #3831.1 |
| 71.9#209 | FT% | — |
| 34.9#275 | 3PA rate | #34133.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
St. John's
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Duke1 | L 75–80 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kansas8 | W 67–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Northern Iowa129 | W 79–53 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Connecticut3 | W 72–52 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | H | Seton Hall69 | W 78–68 |
Butler
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Providence43 | L 81–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | DePaul62 | W 81–71 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Creighton36 | L 59–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Villanova47 | L 73–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Xavier45 | W 80–75 |
