Model line
Creighton −5.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Creighton 72%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Creighton home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes Creighton a 5.6-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Marquette offense vs Creighton defense
| Marquette O | Stat | Creighton D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#91 | Tempo | #17068.5 |
| 50.5#214 | eFG% | #16451.1 |
| 16.0#140 | TOV% | #33614.0 |
| 29.7#217 | ORB% | #14329.7 |
| 32.8#240 | FT rate | #424.6 |
| 10.0#238 | Block% | #3366.2 |
| 58.1#54 | Assist% | #14350.9 |
| 52.7#141 | 2P% | #10650.2 |
| 31.7#294 | 3P% | #26935.4 |
| 67.5#333 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#131 | 3PA rate | #35432.0 |
Creighton offense vs Marquette defense
| Creighton O | Stat | Marquette D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#170 | Tempo | #9170.1 |
| 53.1#96 | eFG% | #13650.6 |
| 16.5#163 | TOV% | #3919.3 |
| 27.5#282 | ORB% | #33034.7 |
| 27.5#346 | FT rate | #10432.0 |
| 10.6#277 | Block% | #2398.4 |
| 58.4#51 | Assist% | #33660.2 |
| 54.3#78 | 2P% | #16551.5 |
| 34.5#148 | 3P% | #9932.7 |
| 76.0#51 | FT% | — |
| 48.2#23 | 3PA rate | #18139.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Marquette
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Xavier45 | L 87–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Connecticut3 | W 68–62 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Providence43 | W 78–56 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | DePaul62 | L 51–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Georgetown65 | W 76–60 |
Creighton
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | West Virginia51 | L 70–87 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Rutgers75 | W 82–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Seton Hall69 | L 61–72 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Butler95 | W 76–59 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Providence43 | L 76–79 |
