Model line
Charleston −11.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Charleston 88%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Charleston home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Charleston a 11.1-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Colorado offense vs Charleston defense
| Northern Colorado O | Stat | Charleston D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#96 | Tempo | #18368.3 |
| 55.7#25 | eFG% | #7449.2 |
| 15.4#99 | TOV% | #30614.7 |
| 27.2#289 | ORB% | #27132.3 |
| 27.5#347 | FT rate | #1426.1 |
| 7.2#20 | Block% | #2612.9 |
| 53.3#158 | Assist% | #20653.2 |
| 58.1#22 | 2P% | #7749.5 |
| 35.0#119 | 3P% | #8932.6 |
| 75.8#58 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#142 | 3PA rate | #4943.7 |
Charleston offense vs Northern Colorado defense
| Charleston O | Stat | Northern Colorado D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#183 | Tempo | #9670.0 |
| 50.5#212 | eFG% | #10550.1 |
| 15.7#115 | TOV% | #36312.4 |
| 29.9#203 | ORB% | #624.2 |
| 41.2#42 | FT rate | #28138.8 |
| 8.6#107 | Block% | #3107.0 |
| 52.6#173 | Assist% | #237.9 |
| 53.4#109 | 2P% | #21552.3 |
| 30.6#330 | 3P% | #2830.7 |
| 73.6#146 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#209 | 3PA rate | #31835.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Colorado
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Montana228 | L 89–95 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana228 | W 85–57 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Idaho238 | W 76–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 72–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Northern Arizona308 | W 78–77 |
Charleston
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Towson179 | L 56–81 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 79–76 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Hampton221 | W 85–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Monmouth193 | W 74–63 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | North Carolina A&T300 | W 74–61 |
